A Financially Deglobalized Era

Crescat Capital Monthly Research Letter, Research Letter & Performance Update

Since the early 1980s, the global economy has rejoiced in a long period of significant cooperation among nations in supporting each other’s government financing needs. However, given the growing escalation of geopolitical tensions and the unraveling of longstanding trade partnerships, we believe that the present circumstances are likely to signify the end of an era defined by financial globalization. With …

Whistling Past the Graveyard

Crescat Capital Monthly Research Letter, Research Letter & Performance Update

US policymakers continue to act as if they have the stability of the financial system, the economy, and consumer prices under control. Instead, their ongoing deficit spending and debt monetization since the 2008 crisis have created a trifecta of macro imbalances: Historic overvaluation of long-duration financial assets; Systemic solvency problems posed by excessive leverage; and Embedded structural inflation. This unholy …